And so we come down to the last day of the 2016 election, an election which defied all experts’ predictions by lasting 1000 years, it feels like. I’ve never felt so disgusted and disappointed by 40% of America’s population than I have by the ones who have chosen Donald Trump as their champion.

As we discussed back in May, I never felt that the race would get out of control to the point where Trump could actually win. The dark midnight of my soul, which comes at least once a cycle, came when the polls dipped when Hillary took ill. Nothing else that has occurred met the definition of a potential game-changer. For me, because of Trump’s misogyny, it was always a question, not of IF she would win, but by HOW MUCH she would win. Let’s take a look at where things stand.

States some still consider “in play”

Without throwing any swing states into play, Clinton holds a 195 to 82 Electoral Vote (EV) lead over Trump right now.

“Swing” states not really in play:

For Hillary, the following states are in the bag, no matter what the polls and other folks are saying: WI, MI, PA, VA, CO, NM. This puts EV at 268 Hillary, 82 Trump

Swing states lost by Trump in the first 5 minutes of his campaign:

Due to early voting by Latinos and African Americans, Hillary has already booked enough votes to win FL, NC and NV if her GOTV continues to excel: Hillary EV 318, Trump 82. If Trump won everything after this, it would be 318-220. Losing by 98 EV is Trump’s best-case scenario, but it would make for a long night waiting for California.

Trump, prepare to meet thy Doom.

Most likely swing states to also go Hillary:

If she’s having a good night, and I think she will, AZ and GA will go for Hillary, also due to the early voting, minorities and the ground game. There’s also a Nebraska elector (they and ME do not have winner take all) that I think she will get if she’s performing at this level.

Swing states that are hard to predict:

Ohio, despite my living here, remains to some degree a mystery  because of the high likelihood of a Portman victory requiring some degree of ticket-splitting to bring Hillary home. It’s possible; it’s also possible that under-performing Trump turnout could make this a big blue bump on the tote board. With the tightness of the polls, I give this to Hillary based on ground game. In New Hampshire, the polls have gone haywire. But I feel a Hillary/Hassan daily double coming out of there. There’s also a Maine elector that has been solidly Trump up to this point.

Swing states that Trump has a decent chance to hold on to:

Iowa, Indiana, Missouri and South Carolina have all shown signs of softening at various times. Again, with the paucity and unreliability of polls in this area, it’s hard to quantify by how much. If anything, the Comey distraction prevented expansion into this section of the board.  But if Hillary starts racking up a 7-point and higher national win, these are the states that will start to fall for her. Texas, too. Maybe even Alaska could flip, while Utah could very easily go to Trump, McMullin or Clinton.

My predictions:

First, I believe the poll averages have consistently been low by 1-3% and the organizational disparity is good for another 1-3% for Hillary. Also, once in the voting booth, a lot of Americans are going to have a small little come-to-Jesus moment and decide that a vote for anyone BUT Hillary is a dangerous flirt with the devil and disaster.

Based on this, I think that her margin of victory will be 7%-10% (or more). The most likely range of Electoral votes will be 340-360, but if we get up to that 10%, we will be looking at the 400 EV blowout that has been in play all summer. If the Clinton people hammer the turnout, and the Trump people stay home in enervated dejection, it could go as high as 450.

I think that the Senate will turn blue, and there is even a chance that the House is still in play. Everyone else thinks not, but if this becomes a 10-point landslide, or more, then everything is fair game.

I will get SO drunk!

Oh my GAWD if you haven’t voted yet here is all the encouragement you need:

Among the names being considered, according to conversations with three campaign advisers who requested anonymity to speak freely: Rudy Giuliani for attorney general, Newt Gingrich for secretary of state, retired Lt. Gen Michael Flynn for defense secretary or national security adviser, Trump finance chairman Steve Mnuchin for Treasury secretary, and Republican National Committee finance chair Lew Eisenberg for commerce secretary.

Newt Gingrich flying around the world as the avatar of America is bad enough.  But think for a moment of the entire law enforcement might of the United States of America in the hands of Nosferatu Rudy Giuliani.  The Giustapo.  Political Prosecutions ‘R’ Us.

Can YOU tell the difference?

In fact, this entire cabinet of deplorables has no heart, no brains, no courage and no soul.  They have no wit, no charm and no soul.  They have no sense of history, no inkling of the global chess board, and no soul.  No clue, no compassion and no soul.

Did I mention no soul?

Vote already!

My Outsmart Column this month is kinda fun.  Enjoy and feel free to comment over there.

Great. Now he says there is nothing there.

Sumbitch.

I’m still working the ballot board on Monday and half a day on Tuesday.  I am covering the election for Outsmart and will have a summary on Wednesday morning. I’ll post a link for you.

However, I will be right here Tuesday night to update election returns and hope you can drop by to tell us about your local elections.

Wednesday afternoon, I head to Galveston for a few days of trouble-making with my favorite hoodlum, Judge Susan Criss.  Ole Bubba and I will be sleeping late for a few days, breathing ocean air, walking in the sand, and ordering breakfast in bed.

Meanwhile, I think that whole Secret Service thing with Trump at his rally looked as fake as a $10 wig.

And, remember the good ole days when all we had to fret about was that the head of the FBI was a crossdresser who kept a file on John Lennon?  I want Hillary to appoint Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez to head the FBI.  She’ll have that corrupt white male culture on their knees in about one week.

Remember when I told you about the kinky SuperPAC formed by a triple rich guy in Plano, Texas, to hide his name from the FEC and the public until after the election, but allows him to deposit the money in his own bank?  His name is Andy Beal, and we wouldn’t have caught him if he hadn’t gotten greedy and deposited the PAC money in his own bank.

Beal hired a political consulting firm to front for his shameful PAC.  So, the PAC is listed under the name of Thomas Datwyler, a political hack who works for a Washington, DeeCee firm called Campaign Solutions, where he is listed as “an accountant.” They named the PAC “Save American From It’s Government.” They chose to leave off “And Let Bankers Run Everything.”

Well, this PAC took out a full page ad in the Las Vegas Review Journal.

And down at the bottom in little print it says —

Here, let me fix that:

Paid for by Andy Beal who wants to charge 25% interest on loans

Thanks to Dawn for the heads up.