For whatever reason, results from Nevada are lagging at this time, still. As most of those votes are from Clark County, it is likely that Hillary’s lead will not diminish.
At this point of the game it’s still difficult to cull meaning from Nevada, because the only splits I’ve seen have been from entrance polls, which indicate that Bernie overwhelmingly got people under 30 and, oddly, Hispanics by a small margin. But if the Hispanic vote was skewed younger, those two data points could be related. How did Hillary win, then? Women. Women turned out and women went for Hillary.
I caution you these are from unreliable ENTRANCE poll splits, if we get better indicators, I will share them. Overall, this does NOT change the view of the Dems we looked at last week; March 1 is still the watershed.
As for SC, Bush underperformed after spending all his money, so he had no narrative and no cash. End of Story. For the remainder, the discussion we had earlier also still obtains: Trump’s hard ceiling will win disproportionately large amounts of delegates unless and until the field narrows to 2, at which point he’s vulnerable, or 3, in which case he could be denied the nomination on the first ballot.
In the broader narrative, I believe the Fall of the House of Bush signals the definitive end of the muscular welt-politik, uber-capitalist wing of the Party as the driving force. The Lindsay Grahams are now about to move on to the “eminence grise” phase of their careers, prior to their permanent gigs on the ash heap of history. Marco pretends to that mantle, but lacks the strength to wear it well, or to make it stick beyond – maybe – holding the coalition together long enough to get the nomination.
Funny: in a non-gerrymandered, post-Citizens United world, moderate Republicans might have stood a chance to save the soul of their party. But they sold their political birthright for a mess of electoral pottage. They never Esau it coming.
~Primo