Newsom’s Being Re-recalled

February 27, 2024 By: Half Empty

How many times have California Republicans tried to recall California Governor Gavin Newsom? Five? Then, six times must be the charm, or so must think the organizers of the latest effort to recall this popular governor.

The last time this happened, the recall effort made it to a special election. In an off year. In 2021. During a global pandemic.

By law, a recall effort is allowed 160 days to gather signatures on their petition after giving notification. In 2021, a judge allowed Republicans an additional 4 months to complete their task because not enough people were going shopping at big box stores where petition gatherers are usually encountered.

Because of COVID.

And COVID was ironically the main issue behind the recall. Newsom was first to lock down his state to avoid filling hospital ICUs with afflicted patients. He was quite good at that. He was, however, remiss in masking up at a widely reported dinner party in an exclusive French restaurant amid the lockdown. Hence, their moral outrage.

So it was paradoxical that the very beef they had with Newsom, COVID, allowed Republicans enough time to gather the required number of valid signatures to hold a special election after four previous tries.

This Politico article spells it all out, but there is a flaw in their reportage. Politico assumes that the recall is meant to take place in the November election.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

See, Californians like Newsom for the most part. They also like their Cannabis. At the time, it was no coincidence that Cannabis legalization proponents managed to schedule a vote to legalize recreational marijuana during the 2016 Presidential General election, which produced the 3rd highest voter turnout by percent since 1976.

The Cannabis legalization issue passed.

The last recall of Newsom was a special election on the recall alone. Special elections are notoriously low turnout ones here. Lower than midterm election turnouts. Not so in 2021. Despite the pandemic, that special election had a 58% participation; a full 8% higher than the 2022 midterm election.

Just imagine the turnout if Newsom’s recall were to occur as an issue on the same ballot that TFG appears on as a Presidential candidate.

In California.

It is safe to predict that 2024 would be a Republican rout up and down the ballot.

So no. Newsom’s recall is doomed if it is on the 2024 General Election, and Republicans know it.

On the other hand, Republicans know that 2028 will be Newsom’s first year to attempt a presidential run. Getting him recalled in a low-turnout special election in 2025 would be the obvious gambit to damage his image. Chris Christie had his George Washington Bridge affair to end his winning streak. They hope that this will end Newsom’s.

Their issue last time was flouting his own mask mandate in a restaurant. This time, it is the current state budget shortfall. My guess is that they missed on both issues.

Next time, they might consider trying to impeach President Newsom for using excess hair product.

Conversion

February 27, 2024 By: Nick Carraway

I know conversion is possible because I have gone through it personally. No, this isn’t one of those Saul getting knocked off the horse moments. I didn’t have a burning bush talk to me or have a near death experience. I don’t want to make light of those events because I am sure some people experience those things and they seem very real for them. Who am I to say different?

What I do know is that most of us don’t experience those things. So, conversion has to come from within. We need some kind of realization (or a ha moment) and then the courage and fortitude to actually make a lasting change.  Most people associate conversion with organized religion. Certainly, there are opportunities there, but it doesn’t have to be that way and while religion can be a catalyst for change, the change itself is graded and evaluated independent of that. After all, what good is going to church, praying, and studying if it doesn’t actually lead to tangible change in our lives?

What I have talked about before is a change of mindset from grievance to gratitude. I have been in a grievance state. When I was younger I completed my masters in counseling and wanted to be a school counselor. I did it for three years at the elementary level, but it wasn’t a good fit for me. I lost that job and had difficulty getting back into education. I spent an inordinate amount of time angry.

Why were other people getting opportunities that I wasn’t. I felt that I was a victim of reverse discrimination. I am a white male in a field dominated by women. When I was an elementary counselor I was the only male counselor in the entire school district. I had sunk into a mindset of grievance. That anger was also sifting out into my personal life as well as my attitudes towards other groups that seemingly got advantages. I was on the train to conservatism.

Part of the conversion happened because I got an opportunity to do what I am doing now. Part of it came because I had time to process all of the things that had happened and realized I had a huge role in my own fate. Part of it came in the wisdom of realizing that I had had opportunities given to me all while I seemingly was prevented from doing things.

Going from grievance to gratitude is hard. It takes a long time because wisdom absolutely never happens in the moment. It comes after reflection and some perspective none of us have as things are happening. This is why I can’t give up on people trapped in a grievance mindset.

The honest to God truth is that all of us have the capacity and justification for choosing either. We can point to crap that happens in our lives and shout, “it’s just not fair.” In many cases it isn’t. In many cases there are people less talented and proficient than us that somehow stumble their way into positions above us. As such, there are many of us that have earned that grievance and can wear it without any tinge of irony.

At the very same time, we all have something to be grateful for. If nothing else, we get the opportunity to wake up every day and make a new start. I probably get the opportunity to impact many more students than I would as a counselor. Whatever life force we choose to believe in, that force is wiser and smarter than we are. It knows where we fit best in this universe. Whether that is God, Yahweh, Allah, Krishna, fate, Buddha, or anything else we can name, we can choose to believe we are in the very best place. Obviously, truth is a four letter word, but perspective is not. Moving folks from grievance to gratitude sounds like moving mountains, but I am here to tell you it’s not only possible, but a necessity.

Deprogramming

February 26, 2024 By: Nick Carraway

When your goal is to deprogram conservatives we must remember that it is a process like any other cult. It’s at this point that we have to remember that language is precise. So, let me start with a statement that will seem provocative, but makes all the difference in the world. Conservatism by its very nature is selfish. This doesn’t mean individual conservatives are selfish. Many are very generous individuals, but their generosity is usually focused on those they find worthy of that generosity. As an ideology it is built on selfishness and individualism.

So, when we look at memes that focus on how great things were in the past, the temptation is to focus on how things weren’t all that great for everyone. Unfortunately, this is a strategy that won’t work. They don’t care. So, telling them that life wasn’t good for women, ethnic minorities, or the poor really doesn’t phase them. Keep in mind this is about an ideology and not individuals. Progressivism is about the we and conservatism is about the me.

Step One: The politics of scale

A number of the issues many worry about simply don’t matter. Why are we spending so much time writing laws and spending column inches and television segments on this stuff? This simple answer is that it distracts us from the stuff that really matters. If I can make you worry about transgender girls playing girls sports then you won’t notice that my economic policies are driving you to your knees.

If one percent of people are transgender then 20 people in a 2000 student are transgender. If ten of those are boys becoming girls then how many of them are both able to transition before 18 and interested in playing sports. This is simple. Does this issue impact you? Do you have a girl in school playing girls sports? So, you take this approach and expand it outwards. How many of these hot button issues are both real and impact you personally? My guess is very few.

Step Two: Enlightened Self-interest

Remember that conservatism is inherently selfish. So, instead of focusing on someone’s notion of fairness we have to appeal to their sense of self-interest. If things were so good back in the 1950s then it is fair to examine why that was. Few of them know that the top end income tax bracket paid 91 percent. Of course, they weren’t paying 91 percent on all of it, but there were far fewer billionaires.

The vast majority of these folks aren’t earning 100,000 a year. The trickle down economic policies are killing them. It’s why their wages haven’t advanced. It is why costs continue to go up. Things like deregulation are directly responsible for these things. Conservative politicians decreased government investment in higher education and lifted the caps on tuition. We all know that this is more unfair for the poorer Americans and those from traditionally disenfranchised groups. They could honestly care less about other people.

Step Three: The we helps the me

Once you have figured out a way to get people to ignore bullshit issues and have helped them see how conservative economic policies have hurt them then you are ready to finish the job. Individually, we may care or not about others, but most progressives understand the notion that when more people do well then we all do well.

If everyone has access to quality health care then health care costs drop and productivity goes up. When people have good jobs their buying power goes up and they can afford to shop at our stores. Study after study demonstrates that when the disparity between rich and poor is tighter then the crime rate drops. Happier and satisfied people typically don’t resort to violence. Obviously, there will always be exceptions but when we recognize systemic racism, sexism, xenophobia as a threat to our collective well-being then we will have completed the transformation.

Screaming the Crazy Part Out Loud

February 25, 2024 By: El Jefe

At CPAC last week, the Teabaggers of 2010 looked quaint compared to the insurrectionists and radicals of 2024.  The Crazy Wing and the Stupid Wing of the GOP have merged and the resulting zombie was on full display at what can only be dubbed Trumpfest.  One notable moment was during a panel moderated by Chief Shitbag Steve Bannon when QAnon enthusiast and Pizzagate influencer Jack Posobiec said,

“Welcome to the end of democracy. We are here to overthrow it completely.  We didn’t get all the way there on January 6, but we will endeavor to get rid of it and replace it with this, right here.”

It didn’t stop there.  The speakers’ list was a rogue’s gallery of election deniers, white supremacists, criminals and crazies.  TFG co-conspirator Jeffrey Clark was a speaker, along Stefanik, Russian Agent Jim Jordon, Gaetz, Princess Nepotism Lara Trump, and other ne’er-do-wells spouting bullshit and pledging fealty to TFG.  Nazis mingled openly amongst the mouthbreathers, all convinced that Joe Biden is a criminal and the actual criminal, TFG, was unjustly being persecuted.

This is just a preview of the 2024 election year. I’m not looking forward to it in the slightest.

 

Tags: ,

Yellow is the New White

February 21, 2024 By: Fenway Fran

There is no lack of subject material for posts these days. If anything, there is TMI. But today this one almost caused coffee spew, as I was perusing my morning inbox. Now, I am no expert in cocaine lines, but I watch a lot of TV so I know what they look like. We all know Hunter Biden knows what they look like. Obviously, Special Counsel David Weiss and staff do not. They came across this photo while combing through the infamous laptop, probably after clutching their pearls over the dick picks. Look! Evidence! Cocaine!!! You be the judge.

Turns out, it was a photo taken by a recovering addict who is a carpenter by trade. He sent it to his psychiatrist, who had told him he’d have to choose between his art and the drug, with the words Made My Choice. The psychiatrist, who was also treating Biden, passed it on as inspiration. Add this to the Smirnov debacle, and you have plenty of embarrassment to go around Magaland. Not that anything can embarrass these people.

Of Life and Death

February 19, 2024 By: Nick Carraway

In this video Stephen Colbert and Anderson Cooper are talking about life, death, and grief. This weekend, my coworker and friend passed away. He wasn’t my best friend. We didn’t hang out away from work. I almost always detest when people blow these things up for dramatic effect. He was a good, young kid that was just starting his career. He wanted to be good at what he did and do he leaned on all of us in the office for advice.

 

He was only 30 years old. Last Spring he had stomach pain and he went to a few doctors to find out what was going on. They couldn’t find anything until August or September. By then it was too late. Of course, this is not an indictment of the health care industry. His fate might have already been sealed It was a rare abdominal cancer and it was already in stage four when they found it.

This story exists on two levels. There is the overwhelmingly sad human angle. This was a 30 year old kid that had just gotten married. He and his wife hadn’t even been married a year. They both are in their first years as teachers. Quite literally, his life was snatched right out of the starting gate.

You can watch the video over and over again and get choked up every time when you notice Cooper struggling to get through the quote. How could the worst things that happen to us be gifts? How demented do you have to be to express thanks for your own suffering?

On a human level it is is very simple. We are fallible and the moment we admit that, the better off we are. These moments also put our own loss in perspective. How could I possibly compare my struggles with his or his wife’s? Even with my own stuff, I can’t possibly know what to say in this moment. I am speechless. On a larger scale, we can share on our humanity and cherish the time we do have.

When I look at our world, what I see more than anything is a sharp rise in narcissism. In this context, it can best be defined as the excessive concern with self. We are the center of the universe. Everyone exists to meet my needs. Their thoughts, feelings, and concerns are of no consequence to me unless it can be used to meet my desires and my needs.

What has this narcissism wrought? I’d point to the very real situation this couple went through. The people working within the school district were caring and feeling people, but the district itself can’t be. They both ran out of days quickly and whatever benefits that coworkers could pass on also ran out. That includes sick leave banks, disability, and bereavement leave.

I bring this up because it is the norm in our industry and dozens of others as well. You work to serve the company. When you can no longer work you are of no use to the company. So, you are at the mercy of whatever individual managers might feel in the moment. Even then, our capacity for charity is limited.

We work longer and harder than most countries. When you just compare us to the industrialized world we also make less per hour for that time. Our standard of living is lower partially because of the choices we have made. The individual’s ability to make millions or billions trumps the standard of living of ordinary people. Most other countries offer more extended leave to care for a family members, prepare for a baby, or deal with your own illness.

Congress couldn’t pass a bowel movement right now much less landmark employee rights legislation. Maybe that will change some day. What we can do is hug our friends and loved ones a little tighter. We can laugh a little more and a little louder. We can also remember that whatever stuff we are dealing with is not nearly as bad as what others have to deal with.