A Dozen?
Holy cow! A dozen senate seats are in play? I’d be happy with 5.
While Republican Senate seats in Maine, Colorado, North Carolina and Arizona already appear to be lost causes for the GOP leadership, Politico’s James Arkin reported that more GOP senators are finding themselves “scrambling” in more states than the party had planned for.
“Republicans are scrambling resources into red and purple states alike — from Kansas and South Carolina to Iowa and North Carolina — cutting down Democrats’ massive financial edge and hoping for a late-breaking turn in their favor, similar to four years ago.
Okay, we have two jittery seats.
Let me tell you how great this is. Kamala is coming to my county – just a couple of miles from Tom DeLay’s home district – this Friday. I’m not going but lots of my friends are. They have promised iPhone movies!
I’m not celebrating yet but I am just tickled pink that a dozen Republican seats are in play.
I sure hope MJ Hegar can bump off Mitch and Donnei’s asskissing bootlicker Cornyn.
If Biden flips Texas, she might get in on his coattails.
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OT in WX news: Zeta is now a hurricane, the NHC has strengthened the likely Wed/Thu Louisiana Delta landfall as the track has nudged west again just a tad.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT3+shtml/261909.shtml
“WTNT63 KNHC 261909
TCUAT3
Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
210 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020
…AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND ZETA HAS STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE…
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Zeta has become a hurricane, with maximum sustained winds near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts.
SUMMARY OF 210 PM CDT…1910 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…19.4N 85.8W
ABOUT 105 MI…170 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…981 MB…28.97 INCHES
$$
1Forecaster Brennan/Pasch “
If Doug Jones can get himself reelected (with the help of Black women, of course), that will signal the Blue Tsunami we are all hoping for.
2Ms. Juanita Jean Herownself, we’re looking at TX, KY, AZ, SC, CO, IA, MT, AK, AL, GA, KS, ME, MS, NC, NM, AR. 16 states. Moscow Mitch may be in the “safest” seat, but let’s not count out Lady Karma, yet. Republicons still have over a week to tap dance in golf shoes where they usually stuff their 2nd Amendment rights.
Cotton-AR could go down with Donnie’s “appeal” to suburban women.
Cornyn-TX, vulnerable.
AZ has someone to vote FOR in Mark Kelly.
Leningrad Lindsey-SC sure has been whining like an impending loser.
Gardner-CO has flopped so many times his name on the ballot should be quivering.
Ernst-IA margin of error. Daine-MT slim margin, 3 pts – send him some golf shoes.
Soso Collins-ME in bad shape.
Law of averages? Maybe a net gain of 7-10 seats. Please let it be 10!
… as for the rest of them, what Donnie said: https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Z1yMB_DBzPE/X5WpfCQYkBI/AAAAAAACHnc/G0XHVwTGAkgS8C-knY3cgL0hMsIgQHb-QCLcBGAsYHQ/s700/trumpmeme.jpg
3Republicans are heading directly into a perfect storm this last week of the election, which will spotlight their non-reality show platform
Climate change – late, late season hurricane, 27 storms in 2020, so many NOAA ran out of names
Phoney Biden story – Republicans counted of The Wall Street Journal to legitimize their Hunter Biden story, but WSJ couldn’t confirm the few details they were offered in a flimsey narrative. This left out-liar publication Breitbart to flap it around in the wind for no one to see except the kool-aid drinkers
COVID crisis management – on top of everything else, Pence’s team becomes a cluster
All of this should have undecided voters checking DEM on their ballots like they’re grasping for a life preserver.
4Sandridge: I noticed some MJ Hegar TV ads have finally focused on pointing out the many flaws of Cornyn. I may have missed it, but earlier in the ad cycle all I saw were her ads with a message “I drive a motorcycle and I was in the military.” That’s cool, but why are you better than Cornyn? People need a future vision or they stick with status quo. For example, I know a man who voted early (mail in) for all Democrats — BUT one exception: he voted for Cornyn! (At least he voted for Joe….)
5The day Moscow Mitch isn’t the senate majority leader (because he’s in the wrong party) will be a great day followed by an inauguration where Donald won’t be smiling, if he even shows up. Even with social distancing, Biden can get more people there than Trumpf did. Oh happy days……
6I’m disgusted. BOTH of Florida’s senators are safe this year simply due to the luck of the draw. And voters generally [and those in Florida in particular] have short memories.
So who knows if voters will remember, in 2022 and 2024 that both these weasels voted to gut the ACA and Roe v. Wade and so on and so on simply by voting for Amy What’s-her-name. They couldn’t manage to do their own dirty work so they handed it off to somebody else —- and I’ll bet they’ll get away with it in two and four years, too.
Please, please, may Joe and Kamala come down here and ride their tails when they’re finally facing the people. Please.
7Last day. I’m writing postcards for Jaime Harrison until my fingers fall off.
8two crows@ 7, just a guess, but even with a Democratic Senate majority passing legislation will be sufficiently contentious that Batista-lite Rubio and pRick (are you kidding me, FL) Scott the Medicare fraud king will not slip silently into that good night of a midterm election. Voter memories may dim, but technology has the tapes to remind them.
9For both amusement and actual donations, you can now use the Panic Decision Matrix about which races to donate to:
https://idlewords.com/panic_decision_matrix.htm
And yes, the let you pick a state if there’s one (Texas) that you are attached to (Texas) or just want to see turn blue (Texas) out of stubborness.
That site says that the Federal senate races are all well-funded, and to donate to House of Reps or state offices instead. I don’t know how true that is or not ….
Me, I think lazrgrl has the right approach now; it’s not a matter of money this late in the game, but doing canvasing and getting people to the polls.
10Really, JJ? Kamala is coming to Fort Bend? Got any details?
11And we’re hoping and praying that Al Gross will take out Dan Sullivan (a worthless POS) in the Senate and Alyse Galvin will oust that disgusting old fool, Don Young, in the House.
12This is what’s called, “Draining the Swamp”.
13Holy effen chit!
Texass Gov Abbott is making a raw fascist move to potentially intimidate Democratic voters.
He’s going to immediately deploy 1000 Texas Army National Guard troops to five major cities, which just happen to be Democratic majority areas.
Can you imagine if this situation were a mirror image with a Democratic governor? The MAGAotty teabaggers would be shooting up the streets.
We need to get rid of these authoritarian proto-fascist sonsabitches ASAP.
Greg Abbot to Deploy National Guard Troops to Texas Dem Cities:
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/10/26/1989782/-Greg-Abbot-to-Deploy-National-Guard-Troops-to-Texas-Dem-Cities
“Gov. Abbot is making brazen authoritarian moves in Texas.
“The Texas Army National Guard said Monday it had been ordered to dispatch 1,000 troops to five major cities around the state in conjunction with the Nov. 3 election, including San Antonio. The guard in recent weeks had told the San Antonio Express-News that its commander, Maj. Gen. Tracy Norris, had been asked to draft contingency plans in case of trouble at polling places in major cities around the state.”
It’s hard to imagine a world, as a Texas resident, where Gov. Abbot was trying to protect people from say, right wing Militia or violence at the polls. There’s no current order to put them at polling places, but why else would Abbot want them there if not to hand Texas to Trump by force if things start to look like they might be shifting? At a minimum, this is state-sponsored voter intimidation. …”
14I’m in Kentucky, and am sorry to report McGrath hasn’t got the proverbial snowball’s shot at taking out McConnell. I voted for her, nut there’s no way. She’s running a terrible campaign.
15Oddly enough I immediately drew the connection between this post and the El Jefe post. Let’s say the blue wave includes in person voting. It will be interesting to see if Agent Orange is willing to fight for his Senate and House bretheren and sisteren or if he’s likely to steal it just for himself. Zippy probably doesn’t realize that allowing a blue wave won’t help his own legal case to steal a second term.
16As I wind down my news reading and listening today, I’m a bit disturbed by the reports about mail in ballots not being counted in states the gop have been trying to control them like Wisconsin and PA. Other red states are a given. And cryin Brett Kavanaugh is talking about the supremes nullifying state courts ruling on allowing votes to be counted (goes back to bush-gore). And of course Trumpf is pressuring to disallow any votes not counted by November 3rd. That’s their only last chance so this week the “legal” maneuvers will be in full force, and will continue for weeks. Has to be a flat out Biden landslide. And of course all this effects senate and House races.
17Thank goodness we have two safe Democratic seats here in New Mexico. Wish good luck to all other Dems
18The latest SCOTUS decision to allow Wisconsin to prevent the counting of votes received after Election Day, but post marked prior to it, portends an ominous outcome for this country.
19The fix is in.
if you are not familiar with Rachel Bitecofer, give her website a look now. she’s done some interesting modeling and was accurate in 2018 when others weren’t so sure. she describes her variables and reasoning. long read but very interesting. here’s hoping her year long prediction of a 2020 blue wave holds!
https://thecycle.news/news/september-2020-election-update
20Wyatt Earl @15, sorry but not the least bit surprised to hear it. I wriggled out of the Fair Commonwealth 8 years ago and haven’t looked back (much), but I guess we could have seen this coming — McGrath, despite the strong personal bio, seems like just another Ky Dem candidate who’s afraid to run as anything but Republican Lite (see Alison Lundergan Grimes, Jack Conway, et al). Wonder if Charles Booker has built enough of an identity statewide to put it on the line against Randy Paul in 2 years?
21I sent money to Senate candidates in Arizona, Michigan, Maine and S Carolina, to my congress critter (because even sitters in safe seats deserve local support) and to Hank Gilbert.
I am not an organizer but I propose that liberals form a fund to scout up, train and back sane candidates on a list of congressional districts occupied by the worst examples of political slime: Texas 1; Tennessee 4; Florida 1 & 3; Georgia 9; Ohio 4. (You may have a different list.)
It would be the opposite of letting Republicans create and then run against the Squad: publicize real Republicans from the ninth level of hell and then link them to every other Republican.
It’ll never happen, recalling Will Rogers’ assessment of the party, but it is a good idea nevertheless. Too few voters know about Scott Des Jarlais.
22What has kept me hanging on for the last 2 years is the fact that Steve Karnacki said, back then, that we were very unlikely to take the Senate but that, in the next cycle, we would be very well positioned to do so.
I didn’t recall WHY he said it, just the basic message: it was ours for the taking this year. Maybe this was why.
Frankly, I don’t care why though, let’s just DO IT! I just wish a Florida seat was up for grabs — we’re stuck with these guys for at least the next 2 and 4 years. And D’s may have lost the wind we currently have at our backs by then.
23A dozen Senate seats! Hmmmm! I keep thinking of eggs! I think I better eat lunch.
24twocrows, Kornacki said tat because more Republican senators were coming up for renewal.
25Wow, Abbott is at it again. I never watch Fox but I assume he is making very strategic efforts to get his name on Fox with his antics, to create a national profile for a future run at the presidency. I imagine Tom Cotton, Rick Scott, Mike Pence and Nikki Haley are doing the same in their own states. Brace yourselves for the sound of “carrying on Donald Trump’s legacy” ads very soon. If I knew how I’d cyber-squat on the domain names nextDonaldTrump.com and TrumpLegacy.com
26Everyone here would like to see Kentucky bury McConnell under what horses turn bluegrass into after dinner. But we should also consider how satisfying it would be to see him back in a Senate run by Democrats. How juicy it would be to have Kamala Harris as president of the senate tell McConnell to sit down and shut up!
Let him bleat and complain to OANN, Fox, and Breitbart. But on his own time and dime, with no more power than is currently allocated to Schumer.
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