Stuart Rothenberg nailed the 2009 Republican wave in 2009 and I hope he’s right again.

 I have argued repeatedly that while the House is up for grabs — and indeed likely to flip to the Democrats in November — the Senate is not in play. I now believe that it is, so I must revise and extend my remarks.

He outlines, race by race, how the Democrats could do it but admits that Democrats “need everything to go right” to net two seats.

He still gives Ted Cruz the Texas win.  If the election were held right now today, I would disagree.  However, we all know that Cruz’s adoration of all things juvenile and petty might turn into dirty tricks.

Bubba got a polling call last night.  It’s the first time we’ve ever gotten one so the Texas senate seat must have put us in play.