Things I’m Looking For Today

November 05, 2024 By: Half Empty Category: Uncategorized

History will be made no matter who wins the presidency.

Harris, if elected, will be the first woman and the first person of South Asian descent to be elected president.

Trump, if elected, will be the first person elected president with a felony conviction (let alone, 34 of them).

The Ann Selzer poll reported in the Desmoines Register released last week that has Harris beating Trump by 3 percentage points in that state has really turned things on its ear. Not considered a swing state by any stretch of the imagination, the Iowa poll has sparked the notion that other traditionally conservative states might follow suit in a similar model. That this news hasn’t created a joyful “Whoop” among D’s is very probably a result of the PTSD that still afflicts Hillary’s 2016 voters. Myself included.

Former LA Dodger first baseman Steve Garvey will “strike out looking” as Adam “Shifty” Schiff effortlessly serves up fast balls and sliders in California’s Senate race. Texas Senator Cruz hopes to cruise to another victory, this time against former NFL linebacker and present US Congressman Colin Allred, who has chipped away at Cruz’s iHeartMedia-fed lead. If Allred has any chance at all to defeat “Cancun” Cruz, he will need a boost by Texas voters who align with the so-called “Iowa Effect.”

California could contribute the most congressional district flips per state (not fair because they have the most districts, but there it is). In CA-41, Will Rollins is neck and neck with 32-year veteran Ken Calvert (R) and is campaigning more aggressively than in the mid-term, where he lost by the least number of votes in decades. In CA CD-22, David Valadao (R) is duking it out with former State Assemblyman Rudy Salas in a toss-up that would elect a Hispanic to a Hispanic-dominated district that always sees victories by minority White Republican candidates because of low Hispanic turnout. Ditto for CA CD-13, another heavy ag area in the Central Valley, where John Duarte (R) is in a rematch with former Assemblyman Adam Gray, who lost to him by 564 votes in 2022.

Overall, I am expecting a Pro-Choice backlash that will upstage the flimsy one we saw in the midterm election in ’22. The horror stories circulating about women being denied care when their pregnancies “go south” (pun not intended) are being repeated, reviled and revisited. Years ago, I read Al Franken’s book “Lies, And The Lying Liars, Who Tell Them” from cover to cover. In a brief discussion of abortion rights, Franken predicted that if (and when) abortion rights are taken from American women, there will be righteous anger and backlash from both sides of the aisle as banning abortion is a political issue for less than a quarter of the electorate.

So now we’ll see…

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