The Democrats’ Real Problem
“A shockingly large percentage of these Obama-Trump voters said Democrats’ economic policies will favor the wealthy — twice the percentage that said the same about Trump.”
Greg Sargent, writing in the Washington Post, revealed results of polls and focus groups taken by Democratic pollsters since the election, and the above quote is the over-arching theme; many people who voted for Obama in 2012 switched to Trump in 2016 because they either believed Trump better represented their interests, or opposed Hillary as a candidate. The studies found that over and over, it was clear that the Democrats have lost serious ground with working class whites. I believe there are several reasons for this: First, working class wage growth has been stagnated since the Reagan years, virtually destroying the American dream of a home, a car, and higher education. Second, the Republican noise machine has successfully targeted this group since the early 90’s, blaming Democrats and liberal policies for the working class’s woes.
What’s happened? Well, for one, starting with Bill Clinton, the Democrats have allowed themselves to be dragged farther and farther to the right. As staunch liberals died off, the new generation of Democrats, lead by Clinton, adopted more conservative policies including limiting welfare, don’t ask don’t tell, and DOMA. He took one stab at healthcare reform with Hillary leading that effort which ended in failure. For the rest of his White House days, he was embroiled in scandals, some manufactured but some stupidly self-inflicted.
During those years, the Democrats, rather than being staunch supporters of workers and US industry, tried to walk the fine lines between liberal-moderate-conservative to avoid being labeled by opponents, and stopped defending labor and the Working Joe as Republican policies to push industry and money offshore seriously damaged US workers.
The inexorable slide was slowed a little by the rise of Barack Obama and his populist/social justice agenda. He spoke clearly to the working class, and they came to him by the millions. However, after he was elected, he was effectively stymied in many of his initiatives because of Great Recession as well as the weakness of the Dems and pervasive stonewalling by Repubs. The only significant legislative legacy for Obama was the ACA, which is now threatened with repeal after the Dems were swept out of office in 2016. Now they are thrashing around trying to make sense of the shocking loss in November.
The Democrats ignore these findings at their own peril. The opportunity to make huge gains in 2018 and 2020 are there; all the Dems need do is grasp the message and policies that propelled the party to dominance for the 40 years begun by FDR. They need to reclaim their legacy of being the party of the middle and working class. Until they do that, they will continue to flounder.
It’s time to stop licking wounds. It’s time to acknowledge the mistakes and poor leadership in recent years and get to work.