The National Hurricane Center is calling for Hurricane Harvey to come ashore later today, hang out for a couple of days, then crawl up the coast.  By Tuesday, the current forecast has it coming back inland around Houston.  The stall is based on the high pressure area that  sits to the northwest, keeping it from coming on inland and dissipating.  Various forecasts have rain possibilities for the Houston metro area up to 30″.

And a fun time will be had by all.  Y’all keep dry.  We’ll keep updating as long as we have access to the Intertubes.

According to the folks over at Twitter on a thread started by Chris Cillizza, Trump has attacked 21% of the Republican Senators by name.

Here’s the list —

1. Mitch McConnell (Kentucky)
2. Bob Corker (Tennessee)
3. Lindsey Graham (South Carolina)
4. John McCain (Arizona)
5. Ben Sasse (Nebrska)
6. Ted Cruz (Texas)
7. Rand Paul (Kentucky)
8. Marco Rubio (Florida)
9. Dean Heller (Nevada)
10. Jeff Flake (Arizona)
11. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)

Some folks say that means he has attacked far more Republican senators by name than Democratic senators.

I’m sure this list isn’t finished.  But don’t worry, sooner or later, he’ll get to you.  There is no limit to hs total disgust of the human race.

Okay, it’s about 9:00 am on Monday Friday.  We are fully prepared and staying put.  We were in Victoria yesterday and many of our friends were under mandatory evacuation.

As El Jefe told you, what were are expecting in the Houston area is rain and bucket loads of it.  The good news is that the Brazos River is low now and can handle a lot of rain.  The bad news is that rivers have limits.

If you want to follow the weather news in the Houston area, I agree with El Jefe on Space City Weather.

I live in Richmond, which is 35 miles southwest of Houston, between Rosenberg and Sugar Land.  We live in a two story home and have access to the roof.

It appears that the worse will be flooding, with rain starting Sunday for us.

I’ll update here when I can!  Thanks for your good thoughts.  We’ll be fine.

OK, kids.  All of you along the Gulf Coast from Houston to Brownsville need to turn on your TeeVee for the latest weather.  The National Hurricane Center has now forecast landfall late Friday night NORTH of Corpus and south of Victoria.  The storm has strengthened rapidly and is forecast to reach Category 3 before coming ashore, hitting 125 MPH winds before coming inland.

That’s not the big problem, though.  The big problem is that the damn thing is forecast to stall just inland until as late as Tuesday before dissipating.  It’s going to dump a LOT of rain on the coastal areas, and Houston is going to see its share.  Back at El Jefe’s Beer & Bread Emporium, we call this kind of storm a Clear Up Shower.  Clear up to your ass.  Forecast rains for Houston could be 12″ to 18″ of rain through Sunday into Monday.

Y’all pay attention to this one, this is going to be a wet one.  We’ll be watching closely.

Thing 1:  you wake up in the morning to see that Big Jim Cantore is standing on your local beach.

Thing 2:  See Thing 1 and realize that Trump has not appointed a head of FEMA or Emergency Management, but I hear he did call Chuck Woolery to see if he had time to do it between his reverse mortgage and catheter commercials. So there’s that.

I’m sure we’ll be fine here on the banks of the Brazos River, but starting today we will be busy.  Our grocery stores have turned in zoos, there is not a battery or bottled water to be found, or a generator left within a 100 mile area.

On top of that, Bubba and I have a political event in Victoria, Texas, today that has not been cancelled. Since both Primo and El Jefe are out of the area right now, I’m turning this joint over to them at least for today.

Enjoy and I will check in when I can.  Again, we will be fine.

Yesterday, Newsweek published a story accusing Bernie voters of tipping the 2016 election to Trump.  It uses data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Survey, compiled by Political Wire, that showed that, indeed, 10% of Bernie primary voters went for Trump in the general. It then goes into a swing state analysis that showed that Trump’s winning margin was less than the Bernie’s voters who went for Trump.  The implication was clear – stubborn Bernie voters wrecked Hillary’s bid for the presidency.  How evil they were and inconsiderate of Hillary and all of her supporters.  Fair enough.

There was an interesting mention, though, of a few not insignificant details at the very end of the article…First, the 10% of Bernie voters that went for Trump paled in comparison to the TWENTY FIVE percent of Hillary voters who went for McCain in 2008 (hypocrisy, anyone?).  More important, and one that I hadn’t realized was so large, was that almost 30% of Bernie voters were actually self identified Republican or leaned Republican.  Conversely, Hillary only attracted about 6 or 7% of the same demographic.

So, was it Bernie and his evil bots who wrecked Hillary’s election, or was it actually the fact that Hillary failed to attract the same demographic that Bernie did?  Trump certainly attracted a wide demographic of support.  Bernie attracted a wide demographic of support.  Hillary simply did not.  So, should the headline of the Newsweek article have been BERNIE SANDERS VOTERS HELPED TRUMP WIN AND HERE’S PROOF,  or should it have been HILLARY CLINTON LOST BECAUSE SHE FAILED TO ATTRACT A WIDER DEMOGRAPHIC THAN TRUMP?

I know the answer, but Hillary’s supporters, and many in the party, still cling to the myth that Bernie wrecked her election.  The inconvenient truth is that the numbers are the numbers and they speak for themselves; this lesson must be learned by the Democratic party lest it have to re-learn it in 2020.

I’m not holding my breath.