Those darn caucuses!  You never know what’s going to happen, and what you think happened when it does, didn’t actually happen how you think it did when it’s done.  Just ask Donald Trump, who is hemorrhaging delegates to Ted Cruz at state conventions that he thought he had already “won” at the precinct level.

In similar fashion, due to the vagaries of Wyoming Democratic politics, the estimated take from Bernie’s big “win” yesterday there is:  Sanders 7, Clinton 7.  Given that all 4 Wyoming superdelegates have already declared for Hillary, you can add the Cowboy State to Sanders long string of pyrrhic “victories,” where he outspent and outperformed Clinton, yet gained little ground, while she husbanded her resources and marshaled them for the fight yet to come.

“Seven in a row,” they crow, conveniently forgetting the size, scope and implications of those seven, versus the seven in a row Hillary had won prior to that.  All these contests have taken place over the last month, since the surprising Michigan win gave Bernie another apparent good night, even as he lost ground to Hillary’s blowout in Mississippi.  She then went on a run that included closed, semi-open and open primaries.  Plus the Marianas!  Those victories netted her 115 more delegates than Bernie.  Then the worm turned, and Bernie went on a tear, winning 6 caucuses and an open primary. 

Net gain?  79.  By contrast, Hillary netted 68 out of Florida alone during her run. Tell Sad Trombone he’s on in five.

And so, in the long month since Bernie’s Michigan win was said to signal his resurgence, he’s lost ground to the tune of 36 delegates.  It doesn’t sound like a lot, until you remember that, between the two of them, they’ve burned through nearly 1000 delegates during the same time.  He’s STILL 250 delegates down, with 1727 remaining.  A month ago, he needed to win 55% of the remaining pledged delegates to go into the convention tied.  Now, that’s climbed to 57%.

He has just about run out of runway, especially when you consider that the only two remaining caucuses are the US VI and Guam, each with 7 delegates.  Also, most of the remaining primaries are closed, meaning only registered Democrats can vote.  Why is this paragraph important? Because, quick! name all the non-caucus states where Bernie won an actual primary.

New Hampshire, Oklahoma, Vermont, Michigan and Wisconsin – all open primaries.  And, to be fair, he did win one closed primary: Democrats Abroad.

Recognizing that the pledged delegate count is out of reach, the Sanders campaign has shifted tactics and is hoping to convince all the superdelegates – the previously reviled and roundly criticized anti-democratic superdelegates – to change from Hillary to him.  And that’s a little sad.